Cibuti 1-2 Sierra Leone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
72%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.6
No
48%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
14%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
2%
X/1
3%
X/2
32%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
6%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.9pp
72%
Away Win
77%
-4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
34%
+18.0pp
48%
BTTS No
66%
-18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cibuti EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 80%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-62% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
192 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cibuti
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sierra Leone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
05.06.2024 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 2-1 HT 1-1 Cibuti Cibuti DKE
POST-MATCH Cibuti vs Sierra Leone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sierra Leone nicked a narrow win over Cibuti 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sierra Leone as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Cibuti vs Sierra Leone?

Cibuti 1-2 Sierra Leone in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cibuti vs Sierra Leone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sierra Leone win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Cibuti 9%, draw 19%, Sierra Leone 72%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sierra Leone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sierra Leone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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