12/10/2025
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Mali vs Madagaskar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
23%
Draw
28%
32%
Away Win
24%
54%
Under 2.5
59%
46%
Over 2.5
41%
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
50%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mali v Madagaskar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mali
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Madagaskar
EU Bookmakers 28%
-19% /
-19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+22% /
+22%
0.95/1.35
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.39
-35%
/
-30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+97%
/
-11%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
358 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.3
Yellow Cards
3.0
Mali vs Madagaskar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mali
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Madagaskar
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
70%
Ball Possession
30%
27
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
2
10
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Mali vs Madagaskar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mali swept aside Madagaskar 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Mali vs Madagaskar?
Mali 4-1 Madagaskar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mali vs Madagaskar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mali 46%, draw 23%, Madagaskar 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mali)
✗ Under 2.5
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12 Oct 2025