Isidro Metapan 1-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
2.67
Draw
40%
2.77
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
34%
-13.2pp
40%
Draw
32%
+7.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.19/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.02
+5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
10.08.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-2 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
02.03.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.12.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
03.11.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan nicked a narrow win over Alianza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (20% / 40% / 40%) promised a tight game; Isidro Metapan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Alianza?

Isidro Metapan 1-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 20%, draw 40%, Alianza 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (20/40/40) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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