Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.67/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
-18% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.9 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
251 Passes 327
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
17.05.2025 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
01.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
22.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-0 HT 3-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
16.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
29.08.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-0
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
463 Passes 284
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa squeezed past Gyeongnam FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 60% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 40%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.83 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 53%, draw 24%, Gyeongnam FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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