Busan I Park 1-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.18
-21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.8 Crosses 14.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 4-2 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
08.03.2025 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-2 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
09.11.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-1 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
06.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
20.04.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
468 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 squeezed past Busan I Park 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 63% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 37%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Busan I Park and 1.17 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Busan I Park 1-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 48%, draw 27%, Bucheon 1995 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5
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