Atletico CP 4-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.25
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dezembro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-2 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
30.03.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.11.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
4-0
AWAY Dezembro
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP cruised past Dezembro 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Atletico CP had 57% of the ball to Dezembro's 43%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico CP and 1.00 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Atletico CP 4-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 49%, draw 27%, Dezembro 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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