Darlington 1883 2-2 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.60/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.09
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
07.11.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
29.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
24.09.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-2
AWAY Peterborough Sports
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 and Peterborough Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Darlington 1883 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 58% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 42%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darlington 1883 and 0.50 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports?

Darlington 1883 2-2 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 42%, draw 27%, Peterborough Sports 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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