Darlington 1883 1-0 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.33/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.05
-14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
29.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
24.09.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 nicked a narrow win over Peterborough Sports 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Darlington 1883 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darlington 1883 and 0.67 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports?

Darlington 1883 1-0 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 39%, draw 26%, Peterborough Sports 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Brackley Town vs Hereford FC Analysis →
18:00 Boston United vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
18:00 Warrington Town vs Gloucester City Analysis →
18:00 Chippenham Town vs Worthing Analysis →
18:00 Dover Athletic vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
18:00 Dartford vs Maidstone United Analysis →