Rouen 1-0 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.3
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
22%
4.07
X/2
6%
9.42
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
8.23
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
17.2
Value flag · 2/X at 17.2 — our 9% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.85/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.51
+13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.04.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 2-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
06.12.2024 Rouen Rouen 2-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-0
AWAY Quevilly
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen squeezed past Quevilly 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rouen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rouen had 51% of the ball to Quevilly's 49%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rouen and 1.00 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Quevilly?

Rouen 1-0 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rouen 54%, draw 25%, Quevilly 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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