Truro City 1-4 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.53
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Worthing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
07.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-4
AWAY Worthing
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing cruised past Truro City 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Worthing made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Truro City had 39% of the ball to Worthing's 61%, shots finished 2-8.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Worthing?

Truro City 1-4 Worthing in the England - Conference on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Truro City 34%, draw 29%, Worthing 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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