Desenzano Calvina 1-0 Clivense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
44%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Desenzano Calvina The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Clivense The Market 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Desenzano Calvina
1-0
AWAY Clivense
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Desenzano Calvina vs Clivense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Desenzano Calvina squeezed past Clivense 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Clivense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Desenzano Calvina had 48% of the ball to Clivense's 52%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Desenzano Calvina vs Clivense?

Desenzano Calvina 1-0 Clivense in the Italy - Serie D on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Desenzano Calvina vs Clivense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clivense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Desenzano Calvina 33%, draw 25%, Clivense 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Clivense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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