13/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Villa dAlme vs Piacenza Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
31%
Home Win
27%
32%
Draw
29%
37%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villa dAlme v Piacenza — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Villa dAlme
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Piacenza
The Market 48%
-41% /
-41%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-19%
/
-54%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
3
310 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Villa dAlme vs Piacenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Piacenza nicked a narrow win over Villa dAlme 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Piacenza made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Villa dAlme vs Piacenza?
Villa dAlme 1-2 Piacenza in the Italy - Serie D on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villa dAlme vs Piacenza?
Before kick-off our model rated an Piacenza win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villa dAlme 31%, draw 32%, Piacenza 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piacenza), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Piacenza)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
13 Jan 2024