Folgore Caratese 2-1 Legnano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
63%
-17.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Folgore Caratese The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnano The Market 19%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+73% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -62%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Folgore Caratese vs Legnano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folgore Caratese squeezed past Legnano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Folgore Caratese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Folgore Caratese vs Legnano?

Folgore Caratese 2-1 Legnano in the Italy - Serie D on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Folgore Caratese vs Legnano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Folgore Caratese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Folgore Caratese 45%, draw 26%, Legnano 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Folgore Caratese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Folgore Caratese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
13 Jan 2024
16:30 Arconatese vs Palazzolo 1913 Analysis →
16:30 Desenzano Calvina vs Clivense Analysis →
16:30 Villa dAlme vs Piacenza Analysis →
16:30 Castrovillari Calcio vs Ragusa Analysis →
16:30 Pinerolo vs PDHAE Analysis →
16:30 Cjarlins Muzane vs Chions Analysis →