13/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Pinerolo vs PDHAE Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
22%
Home Win
4%
25%
Draw
10%
53%
Away Win
86%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pinerolo v PDHAE — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pinerolo
The Market 6%
Head to Head
AWAY
PDHAE
The Market 91%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
37%
Ball Possession
63%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
217 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
495 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pinerolo vs PDHAE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pinerolo nicked a narrow win over PDHAE 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was PDHAE at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Pinerolo vs PDHAE?
Pinerolo 1-0 PDHAE in the Italy - Serie D on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pinerolo vs PDHAE?
Before kick-off our model rated an PDHAE win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pinerolo 22%, draw 25%, PDHAE 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (PDHAE) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (PDHAE)
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
13 Jan 2024