Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
0-2
HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
2-3
HT 1-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund cruised past Werder Bremen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 46% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 54%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.42 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.00 for Werder Bremen.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 68%, draw 18%, Werder Bremen 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.