Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Heidenheim
AL1
Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 nicked a narrow win over Heidenheim 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mainz 05 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 42% of the ball to Heidenheim's 58%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.39 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Heidenheim led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.00 for Heidenheim.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim?
Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 49%, draw 23%, Heidenheim 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.