The New Saints 1-0 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.29
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.6
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
73%
-0.2pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.33/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.62
+42% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
486 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
15.12.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
31.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
29.08.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
20.03.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
1-0
AWAY Colwyn Bay
77% Ball Possession 23%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints nicked a narrow win over Colwyn Bay 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, The New Saints had 77% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 23%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for The New Saints and 0.60 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

The New Saints 1-0 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 73%, draw 13%, Colwyn Bay 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
13 Jan 2026
22:45 Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry Analysis →
22:45 Barry Town vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
22:45 Penybont vs Cardiff MU Analysis →
22:45 Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Analysis →
22:45 Flint Town United vs Bala Town Analysis →