Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caernarfon Town and Connahs Quay shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.33 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town 2-2 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 21%, draw 27%, Connahs Quay 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), Under 2.5 went the other way.