Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fateh v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Fateh 3-1 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Fateh saw off Al Riyadh 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Fateh as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Fateh had 47% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 3.33 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Fateh and 1.40 for Al Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fateh 3-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 53%, draw 20%, Al Riyadh 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.