Pro Patria 0-2 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.43
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
0.70/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.89
-33% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
21.01.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-3 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
17.09.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-0 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
29.01.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
26.09.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
0-2
AWAY Padova Calcio
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio saw off Pro Patria 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pro Patria had 50% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 50%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pro Patria and 2.20 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Padova Calcio?

Pro Patria 0-2 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 28%, draw 25%, Padova Calcio 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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