Monaco 3-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Feb 2026

Monaco
3-1 HT 3-1
Nantes
📅13/02/2026 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Monaco vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.33
Over
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.64
No
45%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
4.79
2-3
38%
1.94
4-5
26%
2.75
6+
11%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.79 — our 25% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.84
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1 ✗
28%
4.21
X/2
8%
12.2
X/X
9%
6.84
2/1
9%
20.0
2/2
7%
9.25
2/X
7%
17.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.21 — our 28% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Monaco v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes The Market 20%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.87/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.85
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.6 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Monaco vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nantes
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
3.07 xG 1.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
477 Passes 270
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2025 Nantes Nantes 3-5 HT 2-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
15.02.2025 Monaco Monaco 7-1 HT 2-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
10.01.2025 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
19.05.2024 Monaco Monaco 4-0 HT 3-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
25.08.2023 Nantes Nantes 3-3 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
09.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR1

Monaco 3-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
3-1
AWAY Nantes
1.78 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
326 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Monaco vs Nantes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco took care of Nantes 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, Nantes saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.78 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.83 a game for Monaco against 1.83 for Nantes.

Monaco vs Nantes Result & Final Score

Monaco 3-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Nantes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Monaco 58%, draw 22%, Nantes 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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