Rennes 3-1 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Feb 2026

Rennes
3-1 HT 1-0
PSG
📅13/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Rennes vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.62
Away Pick
56%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.96
Over
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
24%
6.79
2-3
39%
2.19
4-5
26%
2.44
6+
11%
4.72
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.79 — our 24% vs market 10.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.35
1/2
8%
17.95
1/X
5%
19.0
X/1
9%
14.55
X/2 ✗
25%
4.28
X/X
8%
8.59
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
1.66
2/X
7%
16.95
Value flag · X/2 at 4.28 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Rennes v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 71%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.34/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.08
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 87%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
10.7 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Rennes vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSG
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.02 xG 2.69
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
301 Passes 631
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2025 PSG PSG 5-0 HT 2-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
08.03.2025 Rennes Rennes 1-4 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
27.09.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
03.04.2024 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FRK
25.02.2024 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
08.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1

Rennes 3-1 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
3-1
AWAY PSG
1.39 xG 3.58
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
230 Passes 567
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 46
10 Crosses 26
REVIEW Rennes vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rennes took care of PSG 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. PSG carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Small consolation: at 1.41 (roughly 71%) the price was further off than we were. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, PSG saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 1.39 to 3.58 — on chances, PSG could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Rennes against 2.83 for PSG.

Rennes vs PSG Result & Final Score

Rennes 3-1 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rennes vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rennes 24%, draw 20%, PSG 56%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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