Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-0
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Atletico Nacional 4-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional ran out comfortable winners over Fortaleza CEIF 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 55% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 45%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.14 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.60 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Atletico Nacional 4-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 67%, draw 19%, Fortaleza CEIF 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.