Once Caldas 2-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.18/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.04
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.3 Crosses 13.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
237 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
14.02.2025 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
02.12.2024 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
12.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.04.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-1
AWAY Junior
1.16 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Junior 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 44% of the ball to Junior's 56%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.16 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Caldas and 1.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?

Once Caldas 2-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 42%, draw 27%, Junior 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5
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