Once Caldas 2-2 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +7%
1.27/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.06
+15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.1 Crosses 12.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
248 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
02.12.2024 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
12.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.04.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
22.10.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-2
AWAY Junior
1.31 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
299 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas and Junior shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 51% of the ball to Junior's 49%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 1.31 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Once Caldas and 1.17 for Junior.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?

Once Caldas 2-2 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 44%, draw 27%, Junior 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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