America de Cali 2-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
58%
-14.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.51/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.14
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
17.0 Crosses 12.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
312 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
17.07.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 1-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.01.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
01.12.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
2-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.79 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
401 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali nicked a narrow win over Aguilas Doradas 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 55% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 45%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.79 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aguilas Doradas.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

America de Cali 2-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 44%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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