UTC Cajamarca 1-0 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.37/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.47
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.1 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.64 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
221 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 1-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
01.03.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
19.07.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
02.02.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
26.06.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.03.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1-0
AWAY Cusco FC
2.25 xG 0.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
235 Passes 439
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca squeezed past Cusco FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; UTC Cajamarca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 37% of the ball to Cusco FC's 63%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.25 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UTC Cajamarca's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

UTC Cajamarca 1-0 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 36%, draw 32%, Cusco FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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