Athletic Club vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Club v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Club 3-3 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Club and Gremio shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Athletic Club had 68% of the ball to Gremio's 32%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.32 to 1.76.
What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Gremio?
Athletic Club 3-3 Gremio in the Brazil - Cup on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 32%, draw 30%, Gremio 38%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.