Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Retro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Retro EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+34% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.1 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-1
AWAY Retro
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Retro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense and Retro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Goianiense at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 61% of the ball to Retro's 39%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Retro?

Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Retro in the Brazil - Cup on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Retro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 52%, draw 25%, Retro 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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