Operario PR 1-0 Tombense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tombense EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tombense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.46 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
378 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Tombense Tombense BR2
10.04.2022 Tombense Tombense 1-1 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-0
AWAY Tombense
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Tombense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR nicked a narrow win over Tombense 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Operario PR as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 52% of the ball to Tombense's 48%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 0.50 for Tombense.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Tombense?

Operario PR 1-0 Tombense in the Brazil - Cup on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Tombense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 49%, draw 27%, Tombense 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
13 Mar 2025
01:00 Vitoria vs Nautico Analysis →
01:30 Athletic Club vs Gremio Analysis →
02:00 Maracana vs Ceilandia Analysis →
02:00 Capital vs Porto Velho Analysis →
03:30 Ceara vs Confiança Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Goianiense vs Retro Analysis →