Vitoria 0-2 Nautico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Mar 2025

Vitoria
0-2 HT 0-2
Nautico
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Vitoria vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+12.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Nautico — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Nautico EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.09/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.20
+15% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +72%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
22.0 Crosses 6.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.9

Vitoria vs Nautico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nautico
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 2-3 HT 2-1 Nautico Nautico BRCDN
29.08.2021 Nautico Nautico 1-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
08.06.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
26.11.2020 Nautico Nautico 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
20.08.2020 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
31.10.2015 Vitoria Vitoria 2-3 HT 1-0 Nautico Nautico BR2

Vitoria 0-2 Nautico — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
0-2
AWAY Nautico
76% Ball Possession 24%
22 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Nautico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nautico beat Vitoria 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vitoria at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitoria had 76% of the ball to Nautico's 24%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nautico led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitoria and 1.33 for Nautico.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Nautico?

Vitoria 0-2 Nautico in the Brazil - Cup on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Nautico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 48%, draw 26%, Nautico 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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