Ceara 2-2 Confiança — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
65%
-18.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Confiança EU Bookmakers 16%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.60/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+43% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +104%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Confiança
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
16.04.2015 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 0-0 Confiança Confiança BRK
02.04.2015 Confiança Confiança 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
2-2
AWAY Confiança
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Confiança
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara and Confiança shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceara had 69% of the ball to Confiança's 31%, shots finished 24-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ceara and 0.00 for Confiança.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Confiança?

Ceara 2-2 Confiança in the Brazil - Cup on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Confiança?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ceara 47%, draw 28%, Confiança 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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