Capital 3-1 Porto Velho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
37%
3.28
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.5pp
37%
Draw
27%
+9.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capital EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto Velho EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Capital
3-1
AWAY Porto Velho
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Capital vs Porto Velho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Capital saw off Porto Velho 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 37% / 24% — and on the day Capital made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Capital had 67% of the ball to Porto Velho's 33%, shots finished 20-11.

What was the final score of Capital vs Porto Velho?

Capital 3-1 Porto Velho in the Brazil - Cup on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capital vs Porto Velho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Capital win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Capital 40%, draw 37%, Porto Velho 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Capital) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Capital) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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