Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.21
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.42
6+
5%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.1
1/2
3%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
10%
7.1
X/2
16%
4.97
X/X
18%
4.47
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.91
2/X
5%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Alaves The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.96
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Villarreal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.43
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Villarreal Villarreal 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
08.03.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
09.11.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
22.10.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
30.04.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 2-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1 - 1
AWAY Villarreal
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
267 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
REVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Alaves and Villarreal traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

A gentle 45% lean on Villarreal didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Deportivo Alaves had 48% of the ball to Villarreal's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.50 for Villarreal.

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Result & Final Score

Deportivo Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 26%, draw 29%, Villarreal 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ BTTS Yes
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