Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.79/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.25
+21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.7 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 2.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 274
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2026 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
08.03.2025 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
14.12.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
21.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
04.01.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
3-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
2.00 xG 2.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 20
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) got the better of Sydney (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle Jets (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 46% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 54%, shots finished 21-20, expected goals 2.00 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.50 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 42%, draw 23%, Sydney (K) 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
13 Mar 2026
11:00 Adelaide United (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Analysis →