Arsenal U21 1-5 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 13 Mar 2026

Arsenal U21
1-5 HT 1-3
Leicester City U21
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Arsenal U21 vs Leicester City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.41
No
47%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.9pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.9pp
47%
BTTS No
33%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal U21 v Leicester City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.01/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.67
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.7 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9

Arsenal U21 1-5 Leicester City U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
1-5
AWAY Leicester City U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 6
343 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City U21 ran out comfortable winners over Arsenal U21 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal U21 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 54% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 46%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Arsenal U21 1-5 Leicester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 55%, draw 17%, Leicester City U21 28%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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