Manchester United U21 2-1 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
-0.2pp
34%
BTTS No
34%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.48/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.42
+16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.9 Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Southampton U21
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
405 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 5-1 HT 2-0 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2
29.04.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 3-6 HT 1-2 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
2-1
AWAY Southampton U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
394 Passes 423
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 nicked a narrow win over Southampton U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 46% of the ball to Southampton U21's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester United U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Manchester United U21 and 2.00 for Southampton U21.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Southampton U21?

Manchester United U21 2-1 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 46%, draw 27%, Southampton U21 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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