Aston Villa U21 2-1 Norwich City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.92/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.51
-1% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 14.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Norwich City U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.16 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
401 Passes 376
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 0-3 HT 0-1 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 INGPL2
26.04.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 1-4 HT 1-1 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 INGPL2-1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 edged past Norwich City U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Aston Villa U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Norwich City U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aston Villa U21 and 3.50 for Norwich City U21.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Aston Villa U21 2-1 Norwich City U21 in the INGPL2 on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 37%, draw 30%, Norwich City U21 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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