Middlesbrough U21 6-1 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-9.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.45/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.51
+42% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
464 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stoke City U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
278 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2024 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 1-3 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
6-1
AWAY Stoke City U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
341 Passes 191
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 swept aside Stoke City U21 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middlesbrough U21 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 59% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 41%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Middlesbrough U21 6-1 Stoke City U21 in the INGPL2 on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 64%, draw 22%, Stoke City U21 15%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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