Lincoln City 1-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
17%
3.69
X/2
7%
9.35
X/X
14%
4.75
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
7.93
2/X
7%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.54
+39% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.1 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.16 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
313 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
09.04.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-3 HT 1-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
26.10.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
20.02.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
01.12.2020 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
1-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.73 xG 0.76
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
229 Passes 487
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic edged past Lincoln City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lincoln City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lincoln City had 36% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 64%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.73 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lincoln City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Lincoln City and 1.20 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Wigan Athletic?

Lincoln City 1-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 53%, draw 26%, Wigan Athletic 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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