Barcelona II 2-0 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No Pick
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.04
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
18%
3.55
6+
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.77/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.99
+42% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sestao River
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
06.10.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
09.03.2024 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 2-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
22.10.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 1-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona II
2-0
AWAY Sestao River
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II got the better of Sestao River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona II had 60% of the ball to Sestao River's 40%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Barcelona II and 1.33 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Sestao River?

Barcelona II 2-0 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 32%, draw 26%, Sestao River 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sestao River) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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