Luzern 5-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.58
1/2
8%
24.2
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.89
X/2
11%
5.32
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1
12%
30.0
2/2
12%
3.06
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.33/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.38
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.3 Crosses 23.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.63 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
250 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
19.10.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
14.04.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
11.11.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.08.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
30.04.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
5-0
AWAY Young Boys
2.27 xG 0.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
205 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern cruised past Young Boys 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Luzern had 42% of the ball to Young Boys's 58%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.27 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Luzern and 3.17 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Young Boys?

Luzern 5-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Luzern 42%, draw 27%, Young Boys 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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