Lugano vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals
Lugano vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
Lugano 1-1 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano and St. Gallen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Lugano had 57% of the ball to St. Gallen's 43%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.50 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lugano and 1.17 for St. Gallen.
What was the final score of Lugano vs St. Gallen?
Lugano 1-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs St. Gallen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lugano 47%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 went the other way.