Avellino vs SS Monopoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v SS Monopoli — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs SS Monopoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
SS Monopoli
İTCK
4-0
HT 0-0
SS Monopoli
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
SS Monopoli
İTC
2-1
HT 2-0
Avellino
İTC
Avellino 1-0 SS Monopoli — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino squeezed past SS Monopoli 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Avellino had 58% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 42%, shots finished 9-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Avellino and 0.50 for SS Monopoli.
What was the final score of Avellino vs SS Monopoli?
Avellino 1-0 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs SS Monopoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Avellino 51%, draw 24%, SS Monopoli 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.