Triestina 0-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
0.57/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.77
-49% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
22.12.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
18.02.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
19.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
23.01.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.09.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Triestina 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Padova Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Triestina had 53% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 47%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Triestina and 1.50 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Padova Calcio?

Triestina 0-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Triestina 33%, draw 30%, Padova Calcio 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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