Virtus Entella 2-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.76
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.19
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
53%
-16.9pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.72/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
04.02.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
23.09.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 0-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
2-1
AWAY Arezzo
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella nicked a narrow win over Arezzo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Virtus Entella found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 36% of the ball to Arezzo's 64%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.00 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Arezzo?

Virtus Entella 2-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 36%, draw 36%, Arezzo 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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