Milan II 1-0 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
24.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 35% vs market 33.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
25%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.3pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.8pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
0.86/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.49
-19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +105%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ternana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Ternana Ternana 3-0 HT 1-0 Milan II Milan II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
1-0
AWAY Ternana
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II nicked a narrow win over Ternana 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Milan II had 40% of the ball to Ternana's 60%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Ternana?

Milan II 1-0 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Milan II 24%, draw 35%, Ternana 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ternana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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