SS Monopoli 0-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.98
6+ Goals
6%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.0pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.2pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 58%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.68/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.59
-26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Avellino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Avellino Avellino 3-0 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTCK
24.09.2023 Avellino Avellino 4-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
15.01.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
14.09.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-1 HT 2-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
23.01.2022 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
20.09.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
0-1
AWAY Avellino
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino nicked a narrow win over SS Monopoli 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 57% of the ball to Avellino's 43%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.67 for Avellino.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Avellino?

SS Monopoli 0-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 26%, draw 20%, Avellino 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ BTTS No
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