Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
1.37/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.78
-9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
28.06.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
07.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
21.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
22.07.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2-2
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus and Tallinna Kalev shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 52% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 48%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.17 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 40%, draw 28%, Tallinna Kalev 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ BTTS Yes
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