Angers 2-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.66
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
12%
4.55
X/2
12%
7.88
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.2
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.58/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.1 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Montpellier
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.96 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
376 Passes 367
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 1-3 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
05.03.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 5-0 HT 3-0 Angers Angers FR1
11.09.2022 Angers Angers 2-1 HT 1-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
21.05.2022 Angers Angers 2-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
22.12.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 4-1 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
04.04.2021 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-0
AWAY Montpellier
1.35 xG 0.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
300 Passes 563
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
24 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Angers vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers got the better of Montpellier 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Angers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Angers had 37% of the ball to Montpellier's 63%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.35 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Angers and 2.00 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Angers vs Montpellier?

Angers 2-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Angers 42%, draw 27%, Montpellier 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Angers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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